Applying the Richmond (2026) AI Jobs Transition Framework to the 2024 Household Labour Force Survey reveals significant heterogeneity in displacement risk and complementary growth across the Turkish labor market. Estimates indicate that approximately 3 million private-sector workers in Türkiye occupy roles with a high probability of labor displacement due to artificial intelligence. Another 7 million face substantial reorganization: their employment is unlikely to disappear, but AI will fundamentally alter their task composition and production functions. Conversely, roughly 1 million workers in professional and technical occupations may experience net employment growth, as AI-induced productivity gains lower marginal costs and stimulate elastic demand. For the remaining 16 million workers, near-term structural shifts appear statistically modest. These findings emerge from a novel application of the Richmond (2026) AI Jobs Transition Framework to Türkiye...
Economics, Data Science, Consulting. (Views are my own)