Interview with Minister of Education David Coltart on the Zimbabwe Election

After presiding over economic decline marked by hyperinflation which brought Zimbabwe to its knees, president Mugabe and his Zimbabwe African National Union – Patriotic Front (ZANU-PF) party have emerged as victors in the recent harmonized elections in Zimbabwe. Mugabe got 61% of the vote and his ZANU-PF party won 158 of the 210 parliament seats, giving it a two-thirds majority in the legislature. In order to understand what this means for Zimbabwe’s future, the Harvard Africa Policy Journal has obtained an exclusive telephone interview with the outgoing member of parliament of the opposition Movement for Democratic Change (MDC) from Bulawayo, Mr. David Coltart.

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Modeling Core PCE inflation: A dual approach

Today's release of the August 2025 Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation data drew widespread media attention, with coverage highlighting both the persistence of inflation and its implications for Federal Reserve policy. Across outlets, analysts pointed to resilient consumer spending and income growth as signs of underlying economic strength, even as inflation remains above the Fed's 2% target. The consensus among media reports is that while inflation is not worsening, its stubbornness continues to challenge policymakers navigating a softening labor market and evolving rate expectations. To provide deeper insights into inflation's trajectory, I've developed a forecasting framework that combines two econometric approaches — ARIMA time series modeling and Phillips Curve analysis—to predict Core PCE inflation. This analysis presents a unique opportunity to validate my forecasting methodology against eight months of 2025 data. ...

Do Minimum Wage Increases Really Kill Jobs? Evidence from the "Fight for $15" Era

The debate over minimum wage policy has raged for decades, with economists, policymakers, and business leaders offering sharply different predictions about its effects on employment. Critics warn that raising the minimum wage will force employers to cut jobs, while supporters argue that higher wages boost worker productivity and spending power. But what does the actual data tell us. Using a comprehensive difference-in-differences analysis and Federal Reserve Economic Data covering 43 U.S. states from 2012-2020 of the "Fight for $15" movement between 2012 and 2020, I provide some evidence about how minimum wage increases actually affect employment in the real world. The Perfect Natural Experiment The period from 2012 to 2020 provided economists with an ideal "natural experiment" to study minimum wage effects. Here's why this timeframe was perfect for analysis: Federal Stability : The federal minimum wage remained frozen at $7.25 per hour since 2009, creating ...

Mapping the Matrix: Malaysia's Corporate Network

The complex interconnections that define modern society are readily visible in our Facebook or LinkedIn networks. But what about the corporate world? I recently began mapping the web of cross-shareholding among Malaysia's listed corporations. Using Social Network Analysis (SNA), I visualized the ecosystem to identify key "communities" and power brokers. The goal? To see if a company's position in this web predicts its financial destiny. The State of Play (2015) Figure 1: Malaysia's Corporate Network in 2015 (Created via Gephi) The map above visualizes the network as of 2015. While I have excluded specific company names, the "super-nodes" (the largest circles) represent the most connected shareholders in the economy—primarily government-linked investment companies (GLICs), fund managers, and international asset managers. A Decade of Growing Complexity ...