Skip to main content

The Changing IMF - Taking Our Place

IMF chief Dominique Strauss-Khan said in Kenya that the IMF as a changing institution is imagining a new AFRICA-IMF partnership. Khan was reinforcing the tone of the IMF-Africa meeting in Tanzania last year. As to what the new partnership looks like remains to be fully articulated. But I, like many, welcome the streamlining of fund-conditionality as well increased the policy space or country-ownership of development policy that the IMF is now promoting. To that end, I would like to encourage the Zimbabwe government to take advantage of this opportunity and strongly advocate for its Midterm Economic Plan launched late last year to the international community.

As a student of international economics and development, the changing IMF presents a watershed event in global political economy. Instead of the 1980s/90s fiscal straight-jacket that the IMF pushed on struggling economies, the increased policy space now offered presents a strong platform for greater and meaningful international cooperation. It is encouraging to see that countries like Brazil, India, and China are now lenders to the IMF. The process of democratizing the fund has just begun, and it would be even more inclusive if there were at least one such African country, which is a net donor to the fund. We can be that country, but we first must get our house in order.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Malaysia at a Cross Roads: Diagnosing the Constraints to High Income Status

Malaysia at a Crossroads: Diagnosing Constraints to High-Income Status In 2008, Malaysia was recognized by the Growth Commission – a distinguished panel comprising 2 Nobel Prize Winning Economists and other leading development practitioners – as one of thirteen countries that sustained high growth in the post-war period. The 30-year stretch that caught the attention of the Growth Commission was between 1967 and 1997 when Malaysia grew at an average of 7.3% per year. This long stretch of growth was interrupted by periods of external shocks including the Volcker shock of 1986, the Asian Financial crisis in 1997/8, later the so-called Dot Com Bubble of 2001, and more recently the Global Financial Crisis of 2008. Despite these shocks, Malaysia remained resilient - formally earning the title "Upper Middle Income Country" in 1992. (See summary figure that breaks down the country's per capita growth story). As...

Corporate Network Analysis

The complex interconnections that define modern society are most readily visible from our Facebook, Twitter, or Linkedin networks. What is perhaps less talked about is the extent to which corporations are linked. I just started building a network of cross shareholding among Malaysia's corporations using listed company data. The map below is a preliminary visualization of the country's corporate network as of 2015. I use social network analysis (SNA) tools to partition or color the network into key connected components or communities therein. I have deliberately excluded company names but I will tell you that the biggest nodes represent the most connected shareholders including governments, fund managers, and international asset managers.  Malaysia's Corporate Network in 2015 Created Using Gephi 0.9.1 As the Malaysia economy has grown so has the complexity of the corporate network from few shareholders to many interlinked players. Below is a visualization using sha...

Modeling Core PCE inflation: A dual approach

Today's release of the August 2025 Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation data drew widespread media attention, with coverage highlighting both the persistence of inflation and its implications for Federal Reserve policy. Across outlets, analysts pointed to resilient consumer spending and income growth as signs of underlying economic strength, even as inflation remains above the Fed's 2% target. The consensus among media reports is that while inflation is not worsening, its stubbornness continues to challenge policymakers navigating a softening labor market and evolving rate expectations. To provide deeper insights into inflation's trajectory, I've developed a forecasting framework that combines two econometric approaches — ARIMA time series modeling and Phillips Curve analysis—to predict Core PCE inflation. This analysis presents a unique opportunity to validate my forecasting methodology against eight months of 2025 data. ...