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Showing posts from December, 2023

Temperature, Agriculture, and Growth: Quantifying Climate Impacts on Ghana's Economy

Three years ago, I documented rising land surface temperatures across Ghana , showing a clear warming trend from 2000 to 2020. This follow-up analysis links those temperature trends to agricultural productivity and explores their macroeconomic implications for Ghana's growth trajectory. Using 24 years of satellite data (2000-2023), I've quantified the relationship between rising temperatures and vegetation health across Ghana's three major agricultural zones. Key Empirical Findings Temperature-Agriculture Correlation: $r = -0.885$ $(p This is one of the strongest climate-agriculture relationships documented in African contexts. The relationship holds across zones (Northern Savanna: $r = -0.82$, Middle Belt: $r = -0.88$, Coastal: $r = -0.79$) and during critical growing seasons (Major: $r = -0.86$, Minor: $r = -0.81$). Establishing Causality Beyond Correlation While correlation doesn't prove causation, multiple ...